Wednesday, 15 December 2010
It’s been bad news all along
In the case of the local government settlement, there has been no attempt to soften opinion. In the weeks before the Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR), there were dire predictions that local government was going to get clobbered. Sure enough, in the CSR, local government was clobbered. In the run-up to the settlement, there were more predictions that local government would get a hammering in the settlement. This week it did. You could certainly not accuse ministers of spinning. They have never bothered to disguise the fact that local government is the Aunt Sally of public spending cuts, nor deviated from their insistence from day one in power that town and county halls will bear the brunt to spare education, health and international development.
The public themselves are certainly aware that their councils are being squeezed from above. In some cases, they may even have noticed certain services are being curtailed. But, generally, the impact has yet to be truly felt. Even the national media are starting to get bored with stories about branch libraries under threat and potholes unfilled, partly because they ran the same stories the day after the CSR, when local government got its hammering then and partly because they are yet to occur in any quantity. What the media require is human interest – a tragedy, a catastrophe, blame to be apportioned, either to hapless council officials or heartless ministers who have slashed budgets.
But that is in the future and hopefully, never. For the next few weeks, councils will attempt to absorb their revenue downturns with the minimal impact on frontline services. If they can manage, it will be a super-human achievement. If not, then the library cuts and unfilled potholes will be superseded by far bigger stories of strategic service reductions – and ministers will be asking themselves whether, after all, it was a good idea to deal local government such a bad hand.
On that cheery note – a happy Christmas to you all!
Wednesday, 8 December 2010
Bill for the long term
The coalition in contrast appears to have decided that one local government Bill is quite enough for one Parliament. Considering that it is both unravelling 13 years of Labour policy (and in the case of scrapping the Audit Commission previous Tory policy as well) along with setting out its own stall for local government until 2015 it is hardly surprising the Localism Bill is due to run to 200 clauses. Indeed the diminutive local government minister Bob Neill joked last week at a conference that although he had a copy of the Bill on his desk he could still see over the top of it.
Actually, most of the Localism Bill’s contents have been fairly straightforward to put together and much has already been well trailed. The stumbling block which has delayed its publication to the point at which civil servants fear they might be sharing the Christmas Day turkey with Eric Pickles has been over creating directly elected mayors in the 12 English cities outside London. Big city councils do not like them. They did not like them when they were Tony Blair’s Big Idea a decade ago either. And you can be sure Eric and his team have not been shoe-horning mayors into the Bill only to see the only take-up come from shire districts.
But despite its breadth, will the Bill live up to its name? Despite their insistence on a localist agenda coalition ministers have been tempted so far to intervene on anything from council newspapers and chief executive salaries to council tax levels and fortnightly bin collections. Is Big Society an opportunity or a threat to councils? And the absence of any serious push towards Total Place or community budgeting outside the 16 pilots is disappointing considering how many savings have been identified from previous studies.
However the biggest challenge by far is implementing these changes in the midst of unprecedented cuts in public spending. That will be the real test both for the Bill and for localism.
Wednesday, 1 December 2010
A little too much of a hurry..?
The self-confessed ‘fat man in a hurry’ may have been perhaps a little too hasty when presenting himself before the Star Chamber, back in the autumn. When dealing with the Treasury, it is always wise to a) read the small print on any deal before signing, and b) check your pockets before leaving. These people are past masters at relieving Cabinet ministers of large amounts of cash without them even noticing.
The fact is, Eric has done a sterling job for his coalition and deserves a warming brandy at Chequers from the boss on Christmas Day for the way he volunteered local government for the lion’s share of the cuts in the Spending Review. His Cabinet colleagues, particularly health, the Department for International Development and education, will doubtless have slapped him on the back, relieved that his sacrifice has spared their own.
And to be fair to Eric, he will have returned from his Star Chamber encounter feeling that, while the local government settlement was tough, it was no more than expected by the sector itself – and, indeed, there was the benefit of an extra £1bn for councils to tackle adult care on top.
The problem is the front-loading element of the cuts which Eric and his colleagues now realise is rapidly becoming a large elephant trap, opening out before them. Unfortunately, unlike shoppers buying their Christmas gifts, there is no cooling-off period with the Treasury. The deal has been made and Eric is stuck with it.
He may thrash about, asking councils to look down the backs of their sofas for cash reserves, but as things stand, the front-loading is set to be a massive headache. And just when the bad press starts about library closures, old folk in unheated homes, streetlights turned off and roads pockmarked with holes, Eric will find his Cabinet colleagues are suddenly nowhere to be seen. It’s a brutal world, politics.
Wednesday, 24 November 2010
A re-appraisal or a U-turn
Coalition ministers have certainly been putting this into practice. The last few months have seen a dizzying succession of policy announcements, White Papers and Whitehall restructuring. The Tory conference fringe last month was a hotbed of packed workshops and eager ministerial speakers as the policy pointy-heads feverishly mapped out their plans for the New Age.
So it is perhaps unsurprising that in this bedlam of activity policy has sometimes been made on the hoof or without sufficient thought to the law of unintended consequences (LUC). Last week’s ‘leak’ of plans to fund schools through a new quango caused such an uproar ministers had to backtrack. Over at the CLG, changes to social housing tenancies have quietly contained a get-out clause in case the policy leads to LUC. The abolition of the Audit Commission is going to have huge ramifications for the council audit function.
And ministers are now taking another look at the way council grant cuts have been front-loaded into the first year, hinting that when the settlement appears in a fortnight there could well be flexibilities to spread the pain. Under the Spending Review plans, the gentlest year for cuts is in 2013/14 at 0.8% – nothing to do with county elections of course – compared with a tough 8.4% (and the rest) next year.
There are of course councils who believe it is better to get the pain over and done with rather than drag it out. But it is also clear that swingeing cuts will be on the cards with services slashed, libraries closed, street lights turned off etc and ministers can see themselves on the receiving end of public opprobrium.
Some may call this rethink it a U-turn, others a sensible reappraisal of a complex brief. It is certainly better to make changes before rather than after new policies have been enshrined in law. But hyperactive ministers may also want to ensure that in their eagerness to be pro-active they do not store up problems for themselves in the future when the chickens come home to roost.
Wednesday, 17 November 2010
Merging members as well as officers
With county Tory leaders keen to see new unitary counties against the policy of Conservative Central Office – which had a protective arm round its district foot soldiers – the scene was set for severe behind-the-scenes arm-twisting. In the end, the Tory front bench could not avoid the creation of unitary counties, but its members were adamantly against any more reorganisation and, indeed, blocked plans in Devon, Norfolk and Suffolk days after forming the coalition last May.
But there are indications that this policy is evolving. First, Conservative ministers are not, in principle, opposed to councils merging and, indeed, they positively encourage it because of the savings generated. Second, mergers are gathering momentum out of sheer economic need and no longer are they confined to cash-strapped districts but spreading to London boroughs. Third, the local government political landscape will start turning red from next spring, and there will be less incentive for the coalition to be quite so bothered about having fewer councils. And fourth, it is difficult to argue that councils should merge managements and services yet retain all the elected members with all their costs.
Some districts are already looking at full member mergers or reducing numbers – as is a unitary such as Telford and Wrekin – so it is unsurprising that the Boundary Commission has now registered this changed scenario and is consulting on how to enable councils to reduce the number of members, if they so wish. Critics will argue this means a diminished democratic capacity, but with some shire districts having the same number of members as London boroughs this is a moot point.
So long as the councils retain their outward-facing identities it is unlikely the public, if consulted during a referendum, will object. It is an inevitable consequence of management mergers.
Wednesday, 10 November 2010
Increasing fees is not the answer
For those councils, especially districts, relying for part of their income from fees and charges, the private sector recession which struck in late 2007 saw a sharp downturn in residents’ spending. Westminster City, for example, estimated a drop of £50m in parking charges alone.
The property collapse meant a slump in planning applications and land search income. Cash-strapped residents cut back on swimming or gym use. One district chief executive told me two days after the CSR last month: ‘Two-thirds of my district’s income is in fees and charges, and we were badly hit by the recession.’
The economy remains fragile, the housing market has declined again, disposable income is squeezed by static wages, price rises in petrol, food, energy and clothing, and public spending cuts are giving people the jitters. In short, there is no evidence that residents are any more inclined to shell out more for local services.
So, the survey reported on page one finding that a more than two-thirds of council chiefs expect to see rises in local charges with one-third expecting them to be substantial reveals either naivity about consumer spending or desperation. Unless you are a monopoly, it is difficult to put up prices when there is already price-resistance. Consumers do not have to go swimming, attend adult education classes or park cars in the high street, and nor are they moving house. Jacking-up charges to the point where users simply walk away will only lead councils down the road of withdrawing altogether from such services, leaving pools, gyms and libraries for the private sector to provide or not at all. Maybe then it will dawn on the public that local services they have taken for granted have ceased to exist.
Increasing fees to bring in other income is, like salami-slicing services, only a short-term solution. Councils, aided by new powers of competence, will need to be entrepreneurial, if they are to meet the downturn.
Wednesday, 3 November 2010
The huge agenda for care services
But, it is not hard to see why such an event should be so popular. Turmoil, upheaval and plain fear stalk the corridors of upper-tier councils when it comes to children and adult care. Most county councils are little more than organisations helping children and vulnerable adults, and to them, as well as unitaries and Mets, both these services represent the budgets most out of control and causing their managements the greatest concern. Ever since the Baby Peter case, the number of children taken back into care has risen, along with the costs. Adult care costs are on an upward curve.
The prospect of more academies and free schools has rattled education authorities, which fear for their very existence as their schools opt out altogether. Against that, the recent and unexpected health White Paper promises huge new opportunities in public health and adult care for councils. And the £2bn for care announced in the CSR was one of the rare items of extra spending, a recognition at least by the coalition that this problem has to be addressed now.
As if this was not enough to fill a conference agenda for a month, mounting concerns over the impact of the housing benefit capping adds another dimension to the care agenda. There is, of course, major politicking going on about this decision, with Tory-controlled central London councils rowing with Labour outer London boroughs about who should pick up the bill for displaced families.
Aside from the politics, the decision poses another headache for councils such as Haringey, already grappling with escalating children’s service budgets and facing an influx of families from more expensive boroughs. One wonders why the Treasury felt that changes to child benefit could wait until 2013 while housing benefit capping, with potentially greater impact, albeit on a smaller number of families, kicks in next April. And as for council tax benefit… but that will have to wait for another conference.
Wednesday, 27 October 2010
Watch out for the unintended traps
In making its combination of sudden policy shifts, scrapping of quangos and CSR cuts, the coalition has opened itself wide open to the law of unintended consequences (LUC). For example, the abolition of the regional development agencies has raised a sudden question mark over the future of the unallocated EU regional funds, worth a hefty £1.3bn. If the RDAs are going, which organisation is, therefore, placed to assume the regional mantle that EU rules require for the receipt of funding?
The word ‘region’ has been banned from the CLG, to be replaced by ‘localism’, but unfortunately, the news has yet to percolate to Brussels. Watch this space, for negotiations are ongoing between UK officials and their EU counterparts, as you can be sure the coalition will not want to lose £1.3bn of funding when it is busy slashing elsewhere.
Welfare, of course, is the worst area for the LUC. The coalition has already faced flak over the abolition of child benefit for upper taxpayers with one parent at home. But take the ceiling on housing benefit. It is understandable ministers want to impose a cap. But the LUC means that families living in expensive houses in central London will, therefore, move out to cheaper boroughs, thereby placing new burdens on schools and social services there, the tab having to be picked up these councils.
As for giving local authorities control over council tax benefit, while also cutting the amount by 10%, the LUC means many councils will have to pick up this bill as well, on top of the CSR cuts. And the funding of next year’s council tax freeze means those local authorities planning modest rises to maintain their tax base in future years will lose out.
Ministers can only hope that announcements made during weeks of sleepless hyperactivity in their first months in power do not come back to haunt them.
Thursday, 21 October 2010
The Review
The actual figures announced this week by the chancellor envisage cuts of 28% in local government, with 30% in overall capital spending. The Communities and Local Government department’s ‘overall resource’ will drop by 51%.
Curiously, the CLG, announcing the 26% cut, notes that if taking council tax rises into account, the total real-term cut comes down to 14%, which suggests that council tax may not be quite so frozen in the future as ministers have suggested.
There are some chinks of light for local government, such as ending ring-fenced grants, giving them greater powers over benefits and, in particular, providing new funds to boost joint working with the NHS. Indeed, there have been suggestions that the only way the NHS will get through the next four years will be by reducing costs through more joint care and health provision. Equally, some health bodies have already expressed concern that the unring-fenced £1bn given to councils to boost more joint working with the NHS may well disappear to meet their other unm
Local government senior managers and councillors knew the Spending Review would be bad news for them – and so it has proved. In that sense, there are few surprises. Most plugged-in chief executives have been working on the assumption of about 30% cuts over the four-year cycle.
The actual figures announced this week by the chancellor envisage cuts of 28% in local government, with 30% in overall capital spending. The Communities and Local Government department’s ‘overall resource’ will drop by 51%.
Curiously, the CLG, announcing the 26% cut, notes that if taking council tax rises into account, the total real-term cut comes down to 14%, which suggests that council tax may not be quite so frozen in the future as ministers have suggested.
There are some chinks of light for local government, such as ending ring-fenced grants, giving them greater powers over benefits and, in particular, providing new funds to boost joint working with the NHS. Indeed, there have been suggestions that the only way the NHS will get through the next four years will be by reducing costs through more joint care and health provision. Equally, some health bodies have already expressed concern that the unring-fenced £1bn given to councils to boost more joint working with the NHS may well disappear to meet their other unmet needs, such as filling winter potholes.
And it is particularly good news that the offspring of Total Place, community-based budgeting, is back on course, with 16 pilots and a hint these could be rolled out. This initiative was unnecessarily delayed because of a change of government and 12 months – and a heap of efficiency savings – have been wasted.
But the real impact on communities will not be truly felt until the detail of the Spending Review has been applied to each council’s budget. In the meantime, anyone scrutinising the announcement would, as ever, be well advised to apply the three essential safety checks, namely, examine the small print, watch out for the law of unintended consequences, and keep an eye on the mischievous work of those favourite Treasury aides, Smoke and Mirrors.
Wednesday, 13 October 2010
Time to change the Green Book
Apart from well-known examples of car manufacturers closing plants for three months, there were numerous cases of workforces taking reduced hours and benefits to cut their costs, but save their jobs.
Such initiatives are spreading to local government as the recession moves from the private to the public sector. Increasingly, council employers are unilaterally negotiating changes to terms and conditions such as sickness pay, car allowances and bonuses, to reduce costs, but avoid expensive and unsettling redundancies. Generally, staff understand the logic since, clearly, it is preferable to be in work but without some of the often-generous terms and conditions offered by local government than to be on the dole.
Of course, there is a political imperative, as it helps reduce redundancy and unemployment costs. And, undoubtedly, there is an element of employers not wasting a good crisis to address expensive working practices no longer sustainable in a recession.
So, it is logical for Local Government Employers to try and formalise the ad hoc revision of what is known as part two of the Green Book, by making it part of national pay negotiations. If it can conclude a deal with unions in which pay in some areas goes up, but overall costs reduce, then both sides benefit. Although the unions have regarded the Green Book as sacrosanct, the reality is that on the ground, it is already being torn up by councils acting unilaterally.
As Lord Hutton said about public sector pensions – there is no case for a race to the bottom. Council employers should not create terms and conditions which are worse than the private sector or are likely to make recruitment in the future difficult. But it is reasonable that as they seek to reduce their staff costs, they look at staff overheads and bring on flexible working, rather than reach automatically for the P45s.
Wednesday, 6 October 2010
Blue sky thinking in Birmingham
But if the Conservative right wing took this as a sign from the heavens, they were sadly mistaken.
Inside the heavily-fortified conference hall, Tory blue was almost non-existent, right down to the logo. This was a coalition conference, and each minister’s speech, for the first time at a Conservative conference, was aimed not only at their delegates but at another party nowhere to be seen in the hall, namely, the Liberal Democrats. Indeed, health secretary, Andrew Lansley, in his speech, even gave credit to the Liberal Democrats for insisting on a stronger local government role in his health reforms.
But there was certainly plenty of blue-sky thinking, reflected in the huge number of fringe sessions, many of them dealing with pretty heavyweight issues, from welfare reform, family deprivation to criminal justice, schools and the third sector.
The Big Society fringes – indeed, most of the local government fringes – were invariably standing-room only, although no-one, as far as I could ascertain,was any clearer after them about just what Big Society means in practice.
What, however, came over strongly was that for the current period leading up to the end of the year, everything is up for grabs. At the conference itself, there was almost a post-revolutionary zeal, as if the old order had been swept away, like the Bourbons or the Romanovs.
Politics is in a state of flux, ministers are still susceptible to new ideas – indeed, are not even clear of their own. Policy is still being developed. Think-tanks are in an unprecedented position of influence.
There are big opportunities, too, for local government, nervous about its future, although aware that localism is the flavour of the month, and on the fringes there was much talk of new and wider powers for it across welfare reform, health, social policy.
The current post-revolutionary state will not last much beyond next spring. The Comprehensive Spending Revue and budgets will focus minds on grim, practical realities, and the limits to what governments can achieve.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 29 September 2010
Apathy from the public sector unions
Examination of the first preference votes cast by union members shows almost twice as many GMB members voting for Ed Miliband against David, Unison members half as much again for Ed over David, and more than twice as many Unite members voting for Ed over his brother.
Does this, therefore, mean that public sector unions are mobilising for a bitter autumn and winter of discontent against spending cuts and that Ed Miliband will be a helpless pawn in union hands as they take to the streets?
It is unlikely judging from the turnout. Despite the importance of the election and the union leaders’ preferences, turnout was low with both GMB and Unison registering single figures at 7.8% and 6.7% respectively. Of the 419,000 ballot papers distributed by Unison, only 28,142 were cast. Of the 554,130 ballot papers from the GMB, 43,106 were cast. This compares to railway union ASLEF, which had the highest union turnout at 25%, dividing its votes evenly between Ed and David.
So, the turnout suggests that public sector union members were generally apathetic about the leadership elections and that those who did bother to vote were the activists who backed Ed for his tougher stance against spending cuts. In their lack of interest, the rest of the membership is either resigned to cuts or not interested in politics, or both. Either way, it does not suggest that union members will be storming the barricades come October.
One reason may be that on the ground, union branches are more flexible about how they deal with the downturn as they recognise that hard-pressed councils are trying to avoid redundancies, if only on cost grounds. There has been a spate of recent notices to staff consulting on changing – ie, making worse – often generous terms and conditions as a means of reducing the pay bill without lay-offs. Faced with the prospect of either keeping their jobs on less favourable terms or accepting redundancies, members are likely to accept the lesser of the two evils.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 22 September 2010
What next for regulation?
Like prisoners released into the open after years of captivity, councils may find the comfort zone of the inspection regime a difficult habit to break.
But with the Audit Commission heading to the history books, councils need to ask themselves what performance monitoring system, if any, they should now pursue. There are some councils which will argue, with justification, that they are perfectly capable of managing their own performance without the need of external help. There are others which will put forward the same argument without any justification at all. And there is the majority which accepts that sector-led regulation and improvement is a sensible alternative both to statutory inspection and to none. The idea that the electorate can decide alone whether its local council is operating on all cylinders is fanciful, as is the belief that voting councillors out every few years is the best method of keeping tabs on poor performance.
The Local Government Group’s draft document to council leaders (see page 3) now puts forward ideas for how such a sector-led regime might operate. At the core needs to be a robust benchmarking system so that the public can measure how their own council compares with others. Transparency in itself is not sufficient, since reams of figures and tables are often gobbleygook to the average voter. What is important is what they mean.
Sector-led regulation can always be open to accusations of stitch-ups. The LGG might consider, therefore, how such information can be analysed and stored by an independent body.
Self-assessment has had mixed results. Too often, over-optimistic self-assessments have been damned by Audit Commission inspections. Peer reviews, however, have been a sector-led success. Those with long memories will recall that when the CPA was being set up, the IDeA was asked whether peer reviews might form part of the new CPA. Wisely, the IDeA turned down the offer. Peer reviews, drawing on experienced officers and members, should now be the backbone of a new sector-led regime.
But what matters above all is that sector self-regulation is seen as robust and objective. If it becomes a damp squib, the pressure will be on for a return to statutory inspection.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 15 September 2010
Taking a radical view of services
In essence the report confirms the direction of public sector reform outlined in the Total Place programme, or what is now termed place-based budgeting, namely that early cross-sector intervention saves money long-term. Furthermore, it argues the case for much more devolution to local level, in particular welfare regimes. It also warns that the cost of our ageing population could increase by as much as 6% of annual GDP and that services therefore need to be reconfigured and devolved, with all the postcode lottery implications this entails.
Ministers are certainly moving in the direction. It is likely that place-based pilots will feature in the CSR and in the next local government Bill, though it is uncertain whether other Whitehall departments will pay a blind bit of attention to them in their scramble to protect their own diminishing budget silos. A test will be how staffing cuts are handled since taking costs off a council’s payroll and placing them on the welfare budget might help the council’s finances but does little for place-based budgeting.
The coalition Government has so far shown it is prepared to be radical with public services such as its health White Paper and in the abolition of the RDAs and the Audit Commission. It is also set to review again local government finance. It should also scrutinise the proposals of the 2020 Commission and consider whether they might be piloted in high-performing local authorities.
Increasingly public sector practitioners accept that tackling the public sector deficit requires more than trimming of annual budgets. The 2020 Commission proposals may be unpalatable for some Whitehall fiefdoms and more long-term than short but they deserve serious examination because the alternatives are decidedly thin on the ground.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 8 September 2010
LEPs replace the 'r' word
There is a powerful reason for such haste. Economic surveys continue to show regions heavily dependent on public sector jobs and as we know these are diminishing at speed. The BBC/Experian survey out today (Thursday) shows that all top ten most resilient local authority areas are in the south and all top ten least resilient are in the Midlands, North West and North East. These areas are the most likely to be hit hardest by cuts in public spending.
While it was clear the RDAs would not survive in their present form under this government, there was still a view back in May that some, principally those in the Midlands and North, would carry on albeit with different name and focus. Their abolition, while causing few tears in local government, nonetheless creates a vacuum. The new regional growth fund has been set up partly to fill it, but with half the budget of the outgoing RDAs. The main engine for regional growth therefore lies with the new local enterprise partnerships, whose first 56 bids were announced this week.
The LEPs in principle meet the new mantra of localism and must be welcomed for being locally sourced rather than being imposed. In some areas, especially the city regions and strong inter-county partnerships, they will fit easily on already established networks.
Many, however, are based on existing council boundaries which hardly suggests much strategic thought while there are also early fears that there will be so many LEPs they will still require a regional body to coordinate them.
Regional policy is littered with failed attempts to knit business, the public sector and skills more tightly together in order to attract inward private sector investment. What we do not need, as the regions face a downturn in public sector funding, is weak talking shops with neither focus nor funding. In short LEPs must have clout to work.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Thursday, 2 September 2010
Localism does not mean NIMBY-ism
In an age of austerity, when the public must take a role in prioritising the services they want, it still remains difficult to give them the option of cutting children’s and adult services.
However, the third cost pressure, landfill taxes, is another matter. Quite simply, residents should be asked two questions – do they believe dumping rubbish in the ground at ever-rising cost and then having their council be fined for missing EU targets is a sensible way of spending taxpayers’ money? If not, will they accept the building of energy-from-waste plants in their locality to burn the rubbish instead of landfilling it?
The chief executive of waste company, Sita, believes a ‘time bomb’ is ticking over the current situation in which only 50% of applications for waste-to-energy facilities are approved (see story, page 3). Residents dislike the idea of incinerators in their neighbourhoods, even though countries such as Denmark and Sweden have been using them for years. Councils turn down the applications in response, thereby merely postponing the problem. The scrapping of the Infrastructure Commission removes any strategic approach to waste disposal policy, leaving it exposed to the localised lobbying power of residents.
The issue is not merely about waste or energy, important as they are. It is about the public taking responsibility for the consequences of their own actions. Localism cannot only be about the devolution of power to small groups of residents to exploit for their own advantage. Localism is the very opposite of NIMBY-ism. To use the cliché, with power must come responsibility.
The days of the public passively receiving services from an all-pervasive local authority are over. They are now part of local governance, in some cases, under Big Society, even set to assume services previously operated by the council. And when it comes to strategic decisions, including reducing landfill and avoiding swingeing charges, the public can no longer ostrich-like hide their heads in the sand and avoid participating in the difficult decisions.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 11 August 2010
A clever move on pensions
Both the GMB and Unison have sent out signals that they may be prepared to accept a local government pension scheme linked to employees’ career earnings rather than the current final salary.
The Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS), being funded by staff and employers is not such a bottomless pit as unfunded schemes like the civil service and the NHS.
Contrary to some reports, the typical pension is £4,000 a year, reflecting the fact that most of the local government workforce is modestly paid and increasingly part-time.
It is true, however, that a small proportion of senior staff retire on extremely good pensions and that in the recent past, many council executives have been managed out of their authorities on very generous early retirement packages. Being a final salary scheme, the LGPS has potentially huge liabilities, and the workforce, as in the private sector, is living longer.
It is also unfair that while private sector final salary schemes have almost entirely dried up, the public sector continues to enjoy guaranteed final benefits underwritten by the taxpayer.
Furthermore, with the retirement age sensibly, if belatedly, rising to reflect the fact that we are all living longer, the LGPS, too, needs to increase its own retirement age.
Nonetheless, the idea that local government staff should also be impoverished in old age just so they can look the private sector in the eye makes no sense either. It is not their fault that private sector employers have withdrawn from open-ended pension commitments.
The reality is that the current baby-boomer generation has pulled up the drawbridge behind it by declining to fund the next generation’s pensions.
The task of government is to protect pensioners as best it can, public or private. The unions’ offer to accept a career-based scheme should help persuade ministers the LGPS can, and should maintain its commitments to provide a decent pension for staff.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 4 August 2010
Planning for the long term
The centre claims the temptation by Whitehall is to cut the easy targets, however effective they are and however many savings they deliver long term, leaving the more difficult but often inefficient programmes in place.
Another often-used phrase is for central and local government, when facing stringent cuts, to ‘go for the low-hanging fruit’. This is a euphemism for cutting area grants to community projects, dropping non-statutory services, squeezing the voluntary sector, postponing road maintenance, or as we have seen this week in Oxfordshire, slashing road safety initiatives, closing branch libraries, indeed, shutting any projects which yield quick savings with minimal upheaval. Most of them have a direct effect on the public, if in varying degrees.
If cuts are carried out in an atmosphere of panic and with no strategic rationale, then the result will be waves of negative local media, disgruntled residents and a council which has trimmed its services but remained largely intact as an organisation.
To complicate the cuts agenda, the public sector is also under pressure not to incur big, upfront redundancy costs. One chief executive recently told me: ‘I need to scale down the department but the redundancy costs mean I wouldn’t get any payback for three years, so there’s no point in doing it.’ The public will take a dim view of councils slashing services on the one hand but maintaining tiers of middle managers because they cannot afford to let them go.
The more far-sighted councils are already looking at the longer-term picture. Short-term cuts become longer-term ‘decommissioning.’ Councillors bury their territorial differences, such as the innovative tie-up between Northamptonshire and Cambridgeshire, to deliver savings, districts share their management teams, and who knows, one day even their councillors.
What councils must not do, as they prepare to take on wider responsibilities across the public sector, is to destroy their credibility among their residents by cutting the low-hanging fruit and avoiding the more difficult – and more long-term – organisational changes necessary to cope with the next four years
Wednesday, 28 July 2010
The picture is getting clearer
Until a couple of weeks ago, I would have said it was confused. But, just as we were trying to make sense of [communities secretary] Eric Pickles’ provocative comments to the LGA conference – and in The MJ – about chief executive non jobs and [housing minister] Grant Shapps’ broadside against councillors’ expenses, up popped the health White Paper.
To those sceptics who believed the Department of Health would never yield an inch to local government, the White Paper was an eye-opener, promising new responsibilities. This was confirmed when Mr Pickles joined health secretary, Andrew Lansley, in an official launch last week, just to emphasise the joint role.
This week, Mr Pickles followed it with a speech to the LGA which, apart from his inadvertent leak about super-mayors in the forthcoming localism Bill, was stuffed with olive branches.
Referring to place-based budgeting, he said he ‘loved the idea’ but not the name, and criticised Total Place for not going far enough. He ended his address with: ‘I absolutely trust local government to deliver.’
Simultaneously, across Parliament Square, a few hundred metres away, decentralisation minister, Greg Clark, was also saying nice things about local government to a think-tank seminar. Indeed, when he was asked by one sceptic in the audience whether or not local government was ‘a large part of the problem’ in blocking community enterprise, he denied it, saying there was ‘a metropolitan snobbery about the idea that local government was resistant to change.’ Actually, he said, it had performed much better than Whitehall.
Both ministers made it plain that councils don’t need to wait to be told what to do by Whitehall or, as Mr Pickles exhorted; ‘Over the summer, just get on and do it.’ Do what is another question.
Many councils might well say, ‘make cuts’ or ‘batten down the hatches’ or ‘lay off staff.’ But at least the ministers have made their message clearer: The ball is in local government’s court. Use it.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 21 July 2010
Planning the ‘Big society’
Some 25 years ago, it was closed by the council, then reopened for a while by a community group and staffed by volunteers during the decade when apparently, there was ‘no such thing as society’. Then it closed again.
But there is a happy ending to this tale. Earlier this year, it reopened, newly refurbished, and funded by the same council which first closed it.
The moral to this story is that running local amenities is difficult, time-consuming and expensive. They are usually driven by small groups of dedicated, even obsessive residents who share a community of interest.
The question is whether there will be sufficient numbers of such determined people to provide the ‘Big society’ that PM David Cameron believes needs to take off, as spending cuts reduce the local state.
It is certainly true that the public need a sea change in their attitude to just what the local public sector can provide. The discussion earlier this year over whether it was legal under ‘elf and safety’ to shovel snow in front of your house was one example. Residents will have to be prepared to take more responsibility for services traditionally seen as the council’s.
Already, some ‘upper-tier’ authorities are looking at handing branch libraries over to community groups. If social enterprises can take them on, then they should be given the opportunity, when the alternative is closure. They also have a role in cross-cutting areas such as youth justice, youth services, mental health, employment, or leisure.
The paradox is that local area grants, which help develop community enterprises, are the easiest for councils to axe, as indeed they have been doing. And contracts with the voluntary sector are the first to be squeezed in a budget downturn, surely a case of extreme short-sightedness.
Let us not be under any illusion that councils will be able to walk away from services simply because social enterprises have filled part of the gap. The ‘Big society’ will continue to need support, often financial, and if fails, then the council will be left holding the baby.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 7 July 2010
Tensions under the surface
Thereafter, the gloves are off and the Government faces its first real test as details of the cuts become clear.
Much depends on the crucial period between now and October, and the extent to which ministers will be able to come to agreement with their political allies currently running most of local government.
The LGA conference in Bournemouth this week is the most important gathering of public sector leaders since the election, and it is not surprising that [communities secretary] Eric Pickles and his team are taking it seriously, with Mr Pickles pointedly regarding it as a party conference.
In turn, the LGA leadership is keen to show that it has the ear of the coalition, and that while there are differences, especially on the schools agenda, these can be ironed out. Both central and local want the relationship to work, not only because they are politically from the same sides, but because the alternative of non-co-operation would be a disaster for them and the public.
But tensions are already clear. The spinning of Mr Pickles’ speech on Tuesday morning with its angle of ‘non jobs’ was hardly conducive to creating positive headlines about local government. LGA chairman Dame Margaret Eaton was obliged in her own speech to ask politicians to ‘stop chasing cheap headlines at our expense.’
In his conference address, Mr Pickles then proceeded to argue that chief executives were superfluous and their jobs could be done by executive leaders, not a necessarily attractive prospect to Tory senior councillors. Many of them will also argue that if the minister is such a localist, he should let them decide their own forms of governance.
The cancellation of Building Schools for the Future projects has also aroused the ire of leaders, and the whole free schools agenda raises questions over the future role of education authorities.
It is inevitable that central/local tensions will exist, as they did when Labour controlled both local and central government. But, with a background of deep spending cuts which could impact disproportionately on councils, these differences – often exacerbated by needlessly provocative comments – need to be removed.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 30 June 2010
No time to be talking rubbish
This week, he directed his ire at council publications, saying in a Sunday newspaper they were ‘weekly town hall Pravdas’, and councils ought to focus on ‘providing regular rubbish collections’.
The subject of rubbish is very important to the public. In many cases, it is the only service people associate with their council. It is especially important in districts, such as the one covering Mr Pickles’ constituency.
But does it merit quite so much of his attention as secretary of state?
His intervention, however, raises a wider question, which is the extent he needs to be telling councils what to do on an almost parochial basis, when he is apparently an ardent advocate of localism. Most councils make their own minds up about weekly or fortnightly bin collections, depending on their local circumstances, and do not need Mr Pickles to tell them about how to pick up rubbish.
Nor do they need Mr Pickles to tell them in what format to issue information to their public. In some areas, the local media is vibrant. In other areas, not. In my borough, the local media is dire, and its circulation patchy, and the Conservative-run council feels obliged to produce a quarterly magazine to tell residents what it is doing.
In all cases, the council bankrolls its local media through advertising, in particular, statutory notices, a particularly futile hangover from the past. Statutory notices are a waste of taxpayers’ money but a good source of income to local newspapers. Is that good or bad?
But the point is that Mr Pickles has a very big job trying to ensure his department isn’t cut to ribbons and in ensuring that local government, of which he is a great defender, is able to handle the forthcoming cuts without slashing services.
In the scheme of things, fortnightly bin collections and council newspapers, while handy headline-generators when in Opposition, are small potatoes for a secretary of state.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 23 June 2010
The Budget
A public sector pay freeze to save £3.3bn by 2014/15 was always on the cards, although the cut-off figure of £21,000 was more generous than the much-trailed £18,000. A review of public sector pensions was also expected, although once again, some commentators predicted that the final salary aspect might be stopped forthwith. Efforts to address the disproportionate impact of public sector jobs in certain regions will be modestly addressed by a regional growth fund for capital projects. A proposal to freeze council tax, while hardly squaring with the localist agenda of leaving councils to decide their priorities, has also been predicted, although whether it is wise is another matter.
Even the stiff headline figure of a 25% cut across non-protected departments over the next four years is not hugely at variance with what finance directors have already been factoring in from next year. It represents an extra 5% of real cuts ‘implied’ by the March Budget.
One chief executive said to me last week: ‘What really matters is just knowing what we have to deal with, so we can plan.’
But the real challenge comes in the autumn when the Spending Review is announced, supposedly on 20 October, and councils then get an idea of their own individual budgets. The question is: How will they react? Will they protect frontline services and cull back offices and share overheads? Or will they cut out all discretionary services and fall back on their core businesses? The challenge will not only be for them but for the coalition government. For if services bear the brunt, you can be sure the blame will be shifted upwards to ministers.
There is also a real prospect that the services councils jettison will be those earmarked for a greater role in Cameron’s ‘Big society’ idea. Already many of the area grants that were axed for this year were for community projects.
One voluntary sector chief recently told me councils were beginning to squeeze the contracts his society held with him. Ministers’claims that localism means devolving down to communities will ring hollow if they have no money to run anything.
The easy target for saving money will be for the ‘soft’ projects, those aimed at the poor, disabled, unemployed, and problem families, leaving budgets for ‘core’ services such as potholes, refuse, adult care, schools or children’s services as protected as possible.
The public must also be involved, not as passive recipients of services but as active participants in deciding priorities and understanding the true costs councils face, from electricity bills to cleaning up after litter-louts or pursuing anti-social neighbours.
Dealing with the next spending round will most likely be a mix of all these responses, salami-slicing costs, cutting back offices, getting the public to demand less and help more, sharing overheads, rethinking roles, culling middle management.
But we are not there yet. This week’s Budget is only the start of a long journey into a radically-different landscape
Wednesday, 16 June 2010
The impact of the Budget…
A combination of dire warnings about how the state of the public finances is even worse than predicted, coupled with rubbishing of public sector pay, pensions and ‘waste’, suggests next week’s Budget will not be exactly sparing of local government.
But the pre-Budget propaganda barrage has been entirely predictable. Any new government will want to push as much blame on to its predecessor. And headline-grabbing assaults on public sector ‘fat cats’ are guaranteed headlines, a bit like warming up the audience before a Roman gladiators’ circus. Nor are there any surprises that local government may get a tough deal. If the coalition intends ring-fencing the NHS, education and defence, then it must turn to local services.
Councils will get through the next difficult months as they have done on numerous occasions previously. The tide of fat cat coverage will turn as householders suddenly rediscover their liking for well-maintained streets, decent residential care for their aged parents, well-stocked libraries and manicured parks. In the short term, councils will manage the downturn in revenue spend.
But of equal importance is the long-term scenario. So-called salami-slicing may deal with the 2011/12 budget, but what of the following years? In his article this week on page 16, the ex-chairman of London Councils, Sir Merrick Cockell, gives his view that having 33 London boroughs all producing their own services is no longer sustainable. Even apart from the procurement benefit of economies of scale, the costs alone will dictate more mergers.
So far, the new administration at the CLG has dealt with the ‘low hanging fruit’ of change – scrapping quangos, getting rid of the Standards Board, dropping spatial strategies and housing targets. It has yet to apply itself to the more complex and medium-term strategy of how to deliver the same public services on less against the rising costs of demographic change. Next week’s Budget will provide that stimulus, one, as Sir Merrick has displayed, is already being seriously examined within local government itself.
Wednesday, 9 June 2010
Don’t blame the workforce
Henry V understood the power of staff motivation, something which so far has eluded this month-old Government. Public sector staff did not cause the recession. They certainly did well from the good years but then so did the private sector.
But now after the feast comes the reckoning, as David Cameron reminded us this week. And in the scale of its challenge, managing huge spending cuts will be an Agincourt for public sector staff. Many of them will not survive the process. They will be required to deal with impossible odds of reduced budgets and high public expectations. Yet without their motivation the task of transformation, of doing much more on less, of sharing services and breaking down silos will be infinitely harder. Having ministers slag them off for daring to be public sector employees is hardly helpful. Indeed it makes sound business sense to ensure staff are motivated when the going gets tough – they are the very people who will help the organisation get through.
CIPFA’s chief executive Steve Freer, hardly a union mouthpiece, has voiced similar concerns. In The MJ this week (p14) he expresses dismay that ‘unhelpful rhetoric’ will demoralise ‘precisely the people who need to be at the top of their game to manage the delivery of cuts as sensitively as possible.’ He asks: ‘Far from beating up public servants, would it not be much smarter for the Government to be pitching for their co-operation?’
Local government and public sector staff and managers are part of the solution, not the problem. Downgrading their value in order to persuade the public that they are merely a drain on the taxpayer is a cynical and ultimately short-sighted tactic. Ministers should re-read up on Henry V and learn that motivating workforces just when the challenges are greatest is much more constructive than demoralising them.
Wednesday, 2 June 2010
Commission in the firing line
The commission came in for a lashing on two grounds. The first was criticism of spending highlighted in its accounts on staff training and various away-days. The second was over the salary of £240,000 – including pension costs – offered to the successor to Steve Bundred, the recently-departed chief executive. The latter issue was always going to be problematic. Trying to stick to a salary package for the next chief lower than several of the commission’s managers would tax the most ingenious HR departments or head-hunter. As for the former, well, this is good knockabout stuff in an age of austerity.
But what does it all mean? There are several interpretations. One is that Messrs Pickles and Maude have taken so many pops at the commission while in Opposition they have forgotten they are now the Government. The second is that they genuinely believe the commission’s days are numbered and it should be wound up, even though the Tory Green Paper a year ago envisaged a new role for it in evaluating the grant-funding regime. Indeed, many insiders have long-believed the commission and the National Audit Office should be merged including the Tory politician who founded it, Lord (Michael) Heseltine.
The third view is that this is a case of new ministers showing they are on the side of local government and against inspectors.
But it is unclear any of these policies have been thought out at this stage. If anything, the weekend bashing was a populist assault on perceived over-endowed public sector pay generally. The block on the commission’s offer to its next chief followed publication of civil service top salaries and a promise to publicise those of council chiefs the end of the year.
In this case, the commission has simply been lumped in with the rest of the so-called ‘fatcats’. It is old-fashioned populism, and there will be a lot more of it, while under the surface, the business of dealing with the real issues will carry on.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 26 May 2010
Don’t stick with the old models
But its presence is undoubtedly there, under the surface, and it remains as relevant now as it was 12 months ago. If, as we are constantly reminded, we are to make the biggest public sector cuts in living memory, then transformation rather than salami-slicing has to be the reponse, and Total Place is at its core.
The local government sector certainly regards it as relevant. A week after the new CLG ministerial team was confirmed, the first event looking at the next steps for Total Place occurred.
A second was organised earlier this week, under the auspices of the Leadership Centre. Feedback from the events was that as a ‘brand’, Total Place is likely to be renamed, but as a concept, will continue, assuming a) local government pursues it energetically, and b) it matches the new coalition priorities.
There are, however, some early concerns that Total Place – or its successor – still appears in Whitehall to be seen as a CLG matter, when its real impact has to be cross-sector. Ring-fencing health and school budgets is hardly likely to encourage them to adopt a Total Place philosophy either.
For example, the CLG has a minister, Greg Clark (see interview on page 6), responsible for decentralisation. This is the only minister with such a title across Whitehall, even though any discussion of cross-sector working invariably involves criticism of the centralised NHS or Work and Pensions, or the Home Office. It was Lord Bichard at last week’s Total Place event who remarked that we would end up with the worst of both worlds if we merely ‘decentralised in silos.’
The pooling of resources around outcomes has to be an objective, however long-term, of all public sector managers, despite the obstacles, such as culture, funding regimes and lack of standardised terms and conditions. But the new government must not make it even harder by persisting with the old models.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 19 May 2010
The new team gets to work
Well, what a surprise. As sure as night follows day, it was inevitable that accusations of Labour ‘extravagance’ would emerge once the new government had its feet under the desk. And it all makes sensible politics – blame the predecessors for the bad news you are about to announce. A new government only gets this one chance, and it wants to milk it.
And there is nothing unusual about Liam Byrne’s outgoing joke to his successor that the Treasury cupboard is bare. The same message was left by outgoing Tory chancellor, Reginald Maudling, to his successor, Jim Callaghan, when Labour ended 13 years of Conservative rule in 1964.
More importantly, is how local government will fare in the inevitable slashing of departmental spending over the next few weeks, up to and including the June emergency Budget. The fact that Labour did well in the local elections paradoxically makes it easier for the coalition government to wield the axe. It was always going to be problematic for Mr Cameron to reward his foot soldiers in the shires, until 6 May, overwhelmingly dominating local government, by cutting their budgets. Now that Labour has made inroads back into its traditional heartlands in London and the mets, his government may be less concerned about the impact of its spending reductions.
Much also depends on the new ministerial team at the CLG. First, they are all experienced in local government as well as holding the shadow brief. Bob Neill, in particular, like Nick Raynsford in 1997, is a knowledgeable advocate of the sector. Unlike Mr Raynsford, who was banished initially to being construction minister, Mr Neill has been given his brief from day one, which is promising.
However, the new government may also be less keen about its devolution pledges. The scale of Labour’s fightback on 6 May, while predicted because of high turnout, nonetheless came as a surprise. The prospect of the coalition government now eagerly devolving powers to its political opponents becomes less believable.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 5 May 2010
Time to fasten the safety belts
Their challenges are not only in tackling the long-awaited spending cuts but also its consequences, such as maintaining morale when staff are being reduced, dealing with a public angry at the loss of some of their cherished services, and protecting the good brand name of their council under fire from local media and opposition councillors.
The question is, how prepared council managers and staff are for the downturn, and whether the public are ready for the impact on their services. Certainly, the election campaign has cast little light on the issue.
As the recent Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS)’ study showed, all politicians have been telling porkies about what they intend to do with the public finances, promising on the one hand, to slash billions off spending, while on the other, maintain frontline services. While cynics have long ago dismissed ‘efficiency’ savings as a smokescreen to confuse the voter, politicians continue to infer that cuts will come from the back office rather than the front, and that, therefore, the imminent fiscal ‘adjustment’ will be tough but bearable. The voters, however, have certainly had ample warning from studies such as the IFS and in the media that this is anything but the case – assuming they choose to give them attention.
Either way, local government managers will find themselves squeezed between a rock and a hard place. An incoming chancellor is almost certain to claim the finances are worse than envisaged, blame his or her predecessor, and impose swingeing spending cuts and tax rises in an emergency Budget. Council managers will be dealing with internal budgetary challenges along with external hostility to ‘de-commissioning.’ Unions, striking over pay and redundancies, will add to the picture of disintegrating services.
But local government has grown used to dealing with declining budgets – tackling ever-rising demand has always been its remit, and it has beaten all other parts of the public sector over efficiency savings. It will rise to the challenge.
Wednesday, 28 April 2010
Are peer reviews by area the future
The IDeA wisely declined on the basis that the peer review system’s strength was that of ‘a critical friend’, and the commission subsequently set up the CPA.
But now, with a strong likelihood that a new government will scrap the CAA, peer reviews are back in the spotlight, not least because the IDeA recently held its first Total Place peer review.
A group of leaders/chairs and chief executives from councils, PCTs and the police were invited last month by Warwickshire’s public service board to examine partnership working across the county, rather than in just the council itself. Some of the results are described in our feature on pages14-15.
Such whole area reviews are the shape of things to come because the thrust of public policy, as outlined in the Budget Total Place report, is about streamlining public services away from silos. It is also clear that partnerships are a mixed picture. Indeed, Warwickshire called in a review precisely because it was concerned its partnership networks were inhibiting good delivery.
The question is whether such reviews may fill the space evacuated by the CAA, should the latter be scrapped. It would be unwise to replace one regulatory regime with another.
The peer reviews still need to be a voluntary process, with councils and their partners inviting them. Their value is that they have no statutory backing and allow the reviewees to be transparent about their weaknesses, rather than tick the inspectors’ boxes.
But if the commission’s statutory remit to monitor performance is reduced or scrapped, greater onus will be placed on the local government ‘family’ itself to ensure standards are maintained consistently across the sector, not easy at a time of budget cuts and increased cross-sector working. The peer review process could, therefore, well be the answer.
Michael Burton, Editor, The MJ
Wednesday, 21 April 2010
Eruptions liven the election
The bizarre spectacle of an Icelandic volcano erupting during an election campaign, managing to ground every single plane in the UK and scuppering candidates’ plans to tour election battlegrounds would certainly come under the definition of ‘events.’
So, too, does the saga of Doncaster MBC – which has also managed to erupt at an inconvenient time – come under events. The only difference is that this particular volcano has been squirting lava for many years without any noticeable reaction either from the local government ‘family’ or inspectors... until this week.
The Audit Commission, in its corporate governance report, noted there was ‘repeated evidence’ that it had ‘not been well run for 15 years.’ Indeed, readers of The MJ will be familiar with the long-running political soap opera that is Doncaster. The commission’s report, which recommends intervention, is blistering in its criticism of the political culture at the council.
A few years ago, such a report during an election campaign would have fuelled not only a torrent of party politicking but also brought down scorn on local government.
The fact that generally, it has not is largely due to the absence of ‘basket cases’, the recognition by MPs that they are the last people to be criticising local politicians, and the acceptance that councils will be part of the solution in helping the next government deliver its agenda in tough economic times.
Nonetheless, while the LGA has shown commendable leadership in sending into Doncaster its own corporate heavyweights, the saga has already gone on far too long.
Observers will note that the commission’s report has done it no harm in proving there is still a case for having external inspectors at a time when many council leaders are campaigning for the commission to be scrapped.
It would have been better if the local government family had intervened earlier, and sorted out its bad apples before they went truly rotten.
Friday, 9 April 2010
The calm before the storm
Four weeks remain of the ancien regime – not, that is, the Government, but the sustained period of public sector investment which is about to come to a shuddering halt.
Everyone in the business knows this will happen. To paraphrase Sir Edward Grey: ‘The lights are going out all over the public sector. We shall not see them lit again in our lifetime.’
But the detail of how this spending reduction is to be achieved has yet to be defined, and for that, we must wait in blissful innocence until after the general election when the real truth can emerge.
At one end, speculation so far includes swingeing cuts of five to 10% a year, and an entire rethink of key services.
As an ex-chief executive said to me the other day: ‘Why do councils run swimming pools when there are so many private leisure centres?’ That promises some lively local debate, considering that the public, so far, cannot even adjust to the idea of fortnightly bin collections.
At the other end is the hypothesis that governments can never really cut spending, that they dare not risk the ‘double dip’ recession, that the economy will pick up, therefore, negating the need for major cutbacks, and that a freeze in spending may be the worst to happen.
Sensible managers would be wise not to bank on this as an outcome.
There is, of course, another scenario, upheld by optimists, managerial and political, within local government. This takes the view that while the financial climate will be tough, the opportunities for local government to become primus inter pares across the public sector have never been greater.
The next Government will need local government’s delivery expertise to help it through the public sector recession. It is up to councils, by being the solution, not the problem, to enhance their long-term role.
Proceed until apprehended
Indeed, Lord Bichard told an LGA conference this week that more had been achieved on the subject in the last 11 months than the last 11 years.
But that was the easy bit. The pilots and others were helpful in identifying clear weaknesses in the structure of provision, but none of these came as a huge surprise. Anyone with a cursory knowledge of public sector bureaucracies already knows they overlap, are often inefficient, and are poor at dealing with problems involving multi-agency responses.
The real challenge is actually doing something about it. The CLG/Treasury response, while laying out a ‘road map’ for Total Place, also contains the usual Whitehall tendencies.
The single offer smacks of the so-called freedoms offered to top CPA performers years back – haven’t we moved on since then? Offers of slightly reduced indicators and less ring-fencing are doubtless designed to elicit more forelock-touching from grateful councils. And Total Place will not work if it depends on sweeteners from Whitehall and will merely perpetuate local government’s tendency to wait and be told what to do by the centre.
And there’s the rub. It really is up to councils to pick up the baton and run. The Leadership Centre’s MD, John Atkinson, told the LGA’s event this week that they should ‘proceed until apprehended’, a version of ‘do whatever you want unless it is expressly forbidden.’
How they react during the crucial next eight months, as preparations are made for the 2011 spending review, will be the test.
Public spending balancing act
I was reminded of the advice this week when studying the Audit Commission’s report into so-called ‘boomerang bosses’ the ex-chief executives who exit councils with bags of cash after a fall-out with their leaders, only to walk immediately into another job. The report was ordered by John Denham last summer as a smokescreen to head off Opposition attacks on public sector ‘fatcats’ and judging by the publicity at the time the public could be forgiven for believing most of local government was involved. It was no accident that the report was commissioned at the height of the Commons expenses scandal and provided a convenient hare for the media to chase.
In fact the Audit Commission report this week notes that of the 122 chiefs who left their jobs in 2007/09 just 37 left with severance packages, or 30% of the total. Of them only six took up other council jobs within a year and over 80% have yet to return to local government. This does not suggest a major problem though this did not prevent the CLG heading a press release ‘boomerang bosses in councils must return pay-offs’. The national media dutifully covered the ‘boomerang racket’ angle.
The real problem is the tendency among a minority of councils to dismiss chief executives on spurious grounds and grant them severance payments and/or enhanced pensions in return for foregoing the employment rights any other employee expects. Too often employers in these cases know they have no legal case which could stack up in an employment tribunal and effectively have to make it worth their chiefs’ while to leave. Nor is it exactly helpful for a chief executive’s reputation and future career to depart in such circumstances. It suggests they are unable to get on with members and severance is often therefore compensation for damage to reputation.
But the subject of severance is a matter for employers and their professional associations to address, not ministers and MPs whose own stables have required a monumental clean-out after the fiddled expenses scandal.
When parting is such sweet sorrow
I was reminded of the advice this week when studying the Audit Commission’s report into so-called ‘boomerang bosses’ the ex-chief executives who exit councils with bags of cash after a fall-out with their leaders, only to walk immediately into another job. The report was ordered by John Denham last summer as a smokescreen to head off Opposition attacks on public sector ‘fatcats’ and judging by the publicity at the time the public could be forgiven for believing most of local government was involved. It was no accident that the report was commissioned at the height of the Commons expenses scandal and provided a convenient hare for the media to chase.
In fact the Audit Commission report this week notes that of the 122 chiefs who left their jobs in 2007/09 just 37 left with severance packages, or 30% of the total. Of them only six took up other council jobs within a year and over 80% have yet to return to local government. This does not suggest a major problem though this did not prevent the CLG heading a press release ‘boomerang bosses in councils must return pay-offs’. The national media dutifully covered the ‘boomerang racket’ angle.
The real problem is the tendency among a minority of councils to dismiss chief executives on spurious grounds and grant them severance payments and/or enhanced pensions in return for foregoing the employment rights any other employee expects. Too often employers in these cases know they have no legal case which could stack up in an employment tribunal and effectively have to make it worth their chiefs’ while to leave. Nor is it exactly helpful for a chief executive’s reputation and future career to depart in such circumstances. It suggests they are unable to get on with members and severance is often therefore compensation for damage to reputation.
But the subject of severance is a matter for employers and their professional associations to address, not ministers and MPs whose own stables have required a monumental clean-out after the fiddled expenses scandal.
Long term aims for Total Place
There are various answers. One is that nothing happens next unless the Government coughs up a few bob for another round of pilots, and councils come rushing to the trough in the time-honoured tradition of only responding to initiatives with cash attached.
An alternative response will come from those councils and their partners which maintain they are already involved in Total Place because they say so, even though their projects were around long before the words ever existed.
Yet a third response comes from those councils and partner agencies who not only grasp the philosophy behind Total Place but are evangelical about it, and are already deep into implementing its principles on the ground, and certainly do not need the Government.
A fourth group, of mainly Conservative councils, will regard Total Place as an interfering New Labour plot, even though they agree wholeheartedly with its aims.
In short, there is no single answer to ‘what happens next’, because while most authorities will claim they are signed up to the principles, in practice, the roll out is extremely mixed. It is also true that there is no one-size-fits-all solution, and that while a thousand flowers need not bloom, there will certainly be various paths.
But the real nub of the issue is just how ambitious the public sector should be with Total Place. If the concept is to be a repeat of the shared services debate, trundling along at a snail’s pace and easily prone to be knocked off course because managers and members find it too difficult, then it will be a failure.
If it is just to be a selection of projects, then its potential will be squandered.
If, as Sir Michael Bichard has stated on many occasions, the current system is inefficient and expensive, then Total Place needs to be ambitious, bedded into the corporate psyche and here to stay not for a year or two but for 10 years.
The answer, therefore, is not ‘what next?’ but ‘where do we wish to be in 2020?’
Blank cheques, but not for councils
Incredibly, the Conservatives, at last weekend’s spring conference in Brighton, were running up huge tabs on future pledges, even as they were promising to get to grips with the deficit ‘from day one’.
During their weekend by the seaside, shadow ministers promised to increase NHS spending in real terms every year through the next parliament, link pensions to earnings, introduce marriage into the tax system, create 4,200 more health visitors for Sure Start, build more prisons to prevent early releases, fund council tax rises of 2.5% for two years, and match the council tax on new housing for six years.
Since it is unlikely the Conservatives will cut defence or law and order, that leaves precious little room for spending cuts – unless local government is to end up picking up the bill for all the excess elsewhere.
When we then add in Gordon Brown’s demand that policing must be protected from cuts, together with the ongoing Personal Care at Home Bill’s fanciful idea that its huge new demands can all be funded by efficiency savings in councils and the NHS, then we have not economics, but freakonomics.
The fact is the maths just doesn’t add up. Either politicians know that and are telling porkies to the voters, or they genuinely believe they can both spend more and spend less at the same time, or they intend to slash the only budget they haven’t identified for growth, namely, local government.
But the BBC’s timely and helpful survey earlier this week into council staffing cuts has reminded voters that the public values its local services. I was interviewed by 15 different BBC radio stations across England about the survey on Monday, and there was clear support and sympathy for councils from normally-sceptical presenters. Politicians will need to think very carefully about singling out local government for an unfair share of cuts.